Conference Abstract | Volume 9, Abstract 041 (ConfProc7) | Published:  22 Jun 2026

Trends and spatial patterns of malaria incidence and intervention coverage in Bibiani Anhwiaso Bekwai Municiality, Western North Region, Ghana, 2015-2023

Obed Ofori1,&, Eunice Baiden Laryea1, Charles Lwanga Noora1, Azumah Abdul-Tawab2, Edith Lawson Appiah3, Gifty Mawusi Dzinyela4, Oheneba Oppong-Darko4, Godfred Kwabena Sarpong5

1Ghana FELTP, University of Ghana School of Public Health, Accra, Ghana, 2Public Health Division, Ghana Health Service, Accra, Ghana, 3Department of Medical Microbiology, University of Ghana Medical School, Accra, Ghana, 4Bibiani Anhwiaso Bekwai Municipal Health Directorate, GHS, Bibiani, Ghana, 5Western North Regional Health Directorate, Ghana Health Service, Bodi, Ghana.

&Corresponding author: Obed Ofori, Ghana FELTP, University of Ghana School of Public Health, Accra, Ghana, Email: grandpaa2012@gmail.com

Received: 23 Aug 2025, Accepted: 28 Oct 2025, Published: 22 Jun 2026

Domain: Infectious Disease Epidemiology

This is part of the Proceedings of the 8th Ghana FELTP Scientific Conference and FELTP Competency Graduation, Accra, Ghana, 10 – 11 December, 2025

Keywords: Malaria, Incidence, Spatial analysis, Temporal analysis, Ghana

©Obed Ofori et al. Journal of Interventional Epidemiology and Public Health (ISSN: 2664-2824). This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution International 4.0 License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Cite this article: Obed Ofori et al. Trends and spatial patterns of malaria incidence and intervention coverage in Bibiani Anhwiaso Bekwai Municipality, Western North Region, Ghana, 2015-2023. Journal of Interventional Epidemiology and Public Health. 2026;9(ConfProc7):041. https://doi.org/10.37432/JIEPH-CONFPRO7-0041

Introduction

Ghana is transitioning from a malaria-endemic country into elimination. While some districts have advanced into the pre-elimination phase, others remain classified as high-burden zones. Bibiani Anhwiaso Bekwai Municipality is classified as a high-burden area despite scale-up of interventions. We assessed temporal trends and sub-municipality differences in malaria incidence and intervention coverage from 2015–2023.

Methods

We conducted a longitudinal secondary analysis of routine malaria surveillance data from the DHIMS II and Ghana Malaria Interventions System, 2015–2023. Temporal trends in monthly cases were assessed using Negative Binomial regression, while segmented fixed-effects linear regression was used to examine sub-municipal incidence and key intervention coverages (LLINs, IPTP and malaria testing).

Results

Malaria incidence declined by 44% from 2015-2023 (465 to 261 per 1,000), equivalent to an average annual reduction of 8% (IRR = 0.92, 95% CI: 0.90–0.94). Seasonal peaks occurred mainly in May–August, alongside occasional off-season surges, with July incidence about 30% higher than January (IRR = 1.30, 95% CI: 1.03–1.65). Bibiani sub-municipality consistently recorded the highest malaria incidence, reflecting its persistently lower intervention coverage. At the 2019 baseline, the composite coverage of key malaria interventions in Bibiani sub-municipality was 66.4% (95% CI: 58.5–74.4), compared with significantly higher levels in Anhwiaso (+11.1 points), Bekwai (+9.7), and Chirano (+10.0). Correspondingly, incidence was significantly lower in Bekwai sub-municipality (β = –307.3, 95% CI: –464.8 to –149.9) and Anhwiaso (β = –196.0, 95% CI: –353.4 to –38.5) relative to Bibiani, while Chirano and Awaso also showed lower but non-significant differences.

Conclusion

Malaria incidence in Bibiani Anhwiaso Bekwai Municipality declined substantially between 2015 and 2023. However, seasonal peaks and off-season surges persisted. Despite overall progress, Bibiani sub-municipality consistently recorded the highest incidence and lagged in intervention uptake. The Municipal health directorate should prioritize Bibiani sub-municipality as a focus area for improving coverage of malaria interventions.

 
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